My Last Minute Oscar Picks

If there’s anything on television that I wait all year to watch, it’s the Academy Awards. There are plenty of people who think that they mean nothing or that they’re overrated, but for me they’re just… great. I love Oscar season because I get to see so many movies that wouldn’t normally come to any theaters close to me. I probably wouldn’t have seen any of my favorite movies for the last five years if it hadn’t been for the Oscars. While they aren’t the be-all-end-all of film, they do get me excited.

So for the first time, I’m making my last minute Oscar picks for who should win, will win, and should’ve been nominated in the six major categories! 2017 was one of my favorite years at the movies, so let’s get started!

Best Supporting Actress

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The Nominees: Mary J. Blige (Mudbound), Allison Janney (I, Tonya), Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread), Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird), Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)

Should Win: Allison Janney, Laurie Metcalf

Will Win: Allison Janney

Should’ve Been Nominated: Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)

Okay, so I didn’t see I, Tonya but I love Allison Janney. She’s way overdue for a win and it’s become one of those situations where I love the actress so much and think she’s so gifted that she could read the phone book and get the award from me.

Best Supporting Actor

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The Nominees: Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project), Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri), Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water), Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World), Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Should Win: Sam Rockwell

Will Win: Sam Rockwell

Should’ve Been Nominated: Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)

I’m still bitter that Armie Hammer, the criminally underrated actor who was one half of the leading men in CMBYN, did not receive a nomination. By default, Rockwell steps up to take over as my favorite for his performance in Three Billboards. It’s a well earned win for this twisted character who has a full circle arc.

Best Actress

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Nominees: Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water), Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri), Margot Robbie (I, Tonya), Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird), Meryl Streep (The Post)

Should Win: Sally Hawkins, Saoirse Ronan

Will Win: Frances McDormand

Should’ve Been Nominated: No complaints here!

McDormand’s turn as a scorned mother searching for justice is an excellent performance. I won’t discredit her in any way; however, Hawkins’ silent portrayal of Elisa in The Shape of Water is beyond astounding. Ronan, a now three-time nominee, is also overdue for a win, but I don’t see anyone toppling McDormand at this point.

Best Actor

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Nominees: Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name), Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread), Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out), Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour), Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.)

Should Win: TIMOTHEE CHALAMET

Will Win: Gary Oldman

Should’ve Been Nominated: James Franco (The Disaster Artist)

This is the perfect example of someone winning for the wrong movie. While Oldman is underrated with just one other Oscar nomination under his belt, Chalamet deserves this win. He’s nothing less than phenomenal in CMBYN, but Hollywood has decided that he will have more chances to win in the future.

Best Director

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Nominees: Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk), Jordan Peele (Get Out), Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird), Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread), Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water)

Should Win: Greta Gerwig, Guillermo del Toro

Will Win: Guillermo del Toro

Should’ve Been Nominated: Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name), Denis Villeneuve (Blade Runner 2049)

Guillermo del Toro finally rode one of his many monster stories all the way to the Academy Awards and boy is he overdue for this first nomination. I will likely just scream if Greta Gerwig wins. She has a very small, outside (but well deserved) chance to win for her debut film, but it seems that del Toro will take home the trophy. Truthfully, I’d be happy to see any of these people win.

Best Picture

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Nominees: Call Me By Your Name, Darkest Hour, Dunkirk, Get Out, Lady Bird, Phantom Thread, The Post, The Shape of Water, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Should Win: Call Me By Your Name, The Shape of Water

Will Win: Three Billboards, The Shape of Water, Get Out

Should’ve Been Nominated: Blade Runner 2049

With The Shape of Water leading the pack, it sets itself up against Three Billboards for the big prize. I can’t completely rule out a spoiler by Get Out though. While CMBYN is my favorite film of 2017, I won’t be mad at all for any of those three other movies I listed took this home.


Well there are my picks! What do you think will win? Let me know and enjoy the show on Sunday, March 4!

(I own no photos, but I made the collages lol)